
DOD's inability to quantify disaster recovery costs blocks the business case for resilience spending, which in turn starves the capital appropriations that civil engineering and facility hardening contractors depend on.
If DOD cannot show Congress concrete cost-benefit data on base flooding or wildfire exposure, appropriators will continue underfunding resilience relative to platform procurement — forcing installations to absorb risk rather than mitigate it.
This creates a procurement vacuum: contractors cannot bid competitively on resilience contracts without historical cost data, so work remains deferred or ad-hoc, limiting market entry for specialized resilience firms.
Without reliable disaster cost baselines, DOD cannot prioritize resilience capital allocation across installations or justify infrastructure modernization budgets to Congress.
This directly delays facility hardening programs at bases vulnerable to hurricanes, flooding, and wildfires — creating a window where aging infrastructure remains exposed.
For defense contractors competing for resilience contracts (especially civil engineering firms like Fluor, Bechtel, and AECOM), the absence of validated cost data means RFPs will lack clear performance metrics and historical benchmarks, extending procurement timelines and increasing proposal risk.
The GAO finding also signals congressional frustration with DOD financial discipline, which typically precedes tighter oversight of infrastructure budgets in the next NDAA markup.
The report does not specify which installation categories (air bases, naval stations, Army posts) have the largest tracking gaps, nor does it quantify the estimated total untracked costs since 2015 — both critical to assessing whether this is a reporting problem or evidence of systemic underinvestme...
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